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Engineering Construction Manpower Forecasting 

The Estimated Manpower Forecast Model is designed to capture the future labour requirements of the engineering construction industry by key sectors.

2013 Update of the Manpower Forecast

We are looking for your view using your industry expertise on how many people you believe will be required by each sector. Please feel free to download the spreadsheet here.

If you need any further information on how to complete the workbook please download the Word document "User Guide" or see the summary notes at the bottom of the page.

Once you have entered your predictions, we would be grateful if you email your contact details and results of the workbook to Hannah.Walker@ecitb.org.uk 

Whilst it is a broad looking analysis, it provides an informative starting point to evaluate future EU manpower requirements and help to plan training requirements for the industry as a whole.

Thank you for taking the time to provide us with your insights.

The 2012 Manpower Forecast Results:

The results from last year's analysis are here.  Whilst certainty within the economy is currently at a difficult point, it is important to be able to determine the needs and requirements of the engineering construction industry in the future. Working with and on behalf of the industry and Government, the ECITB helps to attract, develop and qualify engineering construction personnel in a wide variety of skills and disciplines. Manpower Forecast Results are an important element into the decisions which affect this.

The key results from 2012 were:

>60,000 people need to be recruited by 2023 in order to fill the skills demand. It will be interesting to see if the results from this year's analysis will forecast a similar figure.

>The sector predicted to require the greatest level of manpower by 2023 is Upstream Oil and Gas.

>The most significant increase in demand for manpower by 2023 is the renewables sector, which is forecast to increase by over 300%.

 Instructions on how to fill in the form:

Please enter, in the light purple coloured cells, your view of the relative manpower change factor starting with 2012 as the base year of "1". For example, Downstream (oil & gas) is "1" at 2012. If you believe in 2014 Downstream (oil & gas) will increase by 50%, then enter 1.5. If you believe it will decrease by 20% by 2016 from 2012 then enter 0.8.

Please continue with each two year period in the same way relative to 2012.

Where there is no opinion or your company is not active in an area, please leave the data at "1".

Please indicate your certainty as a percentage with your predictions for 2022.

For example, if you believe you are 85% sure that at 2024 Downstream (oil & gas) will be at 0.6 relative to 2012, then please enter this into the dark purple coloured cells.







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